
Way more than I expected
The estimate of 3.06 million ducks from this survey is 2.5 times the 1.21 million from last November and is similar to the 3.12 million estimated in 2014 when early freezing weather in the Flyway pushed large numbers of birds into Louisiana. This estimate is 80% higher than the most recent 5-year average of 1.73 million and 50% higher than the long-term average of 2.04 million. More of all species except mottled ducks, blue-winged teal, and pintails were seen compared to 2015, and gadwalls (LTA=795,000), greenwings (LTA=258,000), shovelers (LTA=93,000), bluewings (LTA=183,000), scaup (LTA=46,000), and ring-necked ducks (LTA=100,000) were far above their November long-term averages. The relatively high survey total is surprising given the lack of cold weather typically associated with migration events to this point in the year and recent communications from colleagues in Saskatchewan, North Dakota, and Minnesota reporting warm temperatures and delayed migrations.
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